Genesis Scottish Open

Preview, Key Stats and Picks

🌟 Welcome to the latest issue of GolfStats Insider. We're thrilled to have our new subscribers on board. Your support enables us to deliver weekly insights, historical deep dives, and unique perspectives on the world of golf. While our free newsletter keeps you in the loop, our premium edition takes your insights to the next level, complementing our comprehensive GolfStats website subscription. Dive deeper into the game you love - consider upgrading today! 🏌️‍♂️📈

*Please note that the premium edition is the newsletter only. Some folks have been subscribing to the premium newsletter and expecting access to the site.

Lots of things to cover this week so let’s jump right into things…

If this newsletter was forwarded to you, we would really appreciate you subscribing by clicking the button below.

For the third time, the Scottish Open is co-sanctioned with the ISCO Championship, allowing 75 players from the PGA Tour to compete. This creates a strong field, but some notable names like Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Akshay Bhatia, Shane Lowry, Tony Finau, Russell Henley, Jason Day, and Stephan Jaeger are skipping this event. Their absence is understandable, given the long season and upcoming British Open, Olympics, and playoffs. While playing this week can be a good preparation for Troon, many players opt to rest, including Scott Scheffler.

🌟 Spotlight on Rory McIlroy

All eyes will be on Rory McIlroy, who had a disappointing finish at Pinehurst, missing a short putt at the 18th and losing to Bryson DeChambeau. McIlroy has been absent from the tour for four weeks, spending time with his family. The big question is whether he can bounce back and perform well this week or next. His history in majors shows a mix of brilliant play and unfortunate errors. Confidence is crucial, and it remains to be seen if Rory has recovered mentally. He has shown promise with strong finishes at the Wells Fargo, Canada, and the U.S. Open but struggled in the Masters and PGA Championship. At 35, Rory is in his prime, but mental hurdles can be challenging to overcome.

🔥 Davis Thompson’s Rise

Davis Thompson, who showed potential last week, secured a four-shot victory at the John Deere, earning a spot in the British Open. It will be interesting to see if he can maintain his form in Scotland and Troon. Thompson’s season has been impressive, and he looks like a strong contender against players like Scottie Scheffler in the future.

🏌️‍♂️ Players to Watch

Tom Kim has been playing exceptionally well in recent months and is a strong contender for this week’s Scottish Open, having finished 3rd in 2022 and T-6th last year. Aaron Rai, who has been in the final group at the Rocket Mortgage and John Deere, is also a player to watch. He won the Scottish Open in 2020 and comes with a hot hand. Min Woo Lee, the 2021 Scottish Open winner, also shows promise with recent strong finishes at Pinehurst and the Rocket Mortgage. Eric Cole and Denny McCarthy are also peaking and playing in both the Scottish Open and British Open.

Tommy Fleetwood has come close in three of the last four Scottish Opens, including a playoff loss to Aaron Rai in 2020. Fleetwood has also performed well at the Renaissance Club, showing consistency and familiarity with the course. Xander Schauffele, the 2022 winner, is another strong contender given his impressive stats in key areas like Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green, Scrambling, and Par Breakers.

Dark horses to consider include Max Homa, Wyndham Clark, Tom McKibbin, and Thomas Detry, all of whom have good experiences at the Renaissance Club and are playing well.

🇺🇸 Ryder Cup Captain Controversy

The golf world is abuzz with the surprising choice of Keegan Bradley as the American Ryder Cup captain. Bradley, a major winner and Ryder Cup veteran, is seen as an unexpected choice, especially considering his age and the precedent of younger captains. Speculation about other potential candidates like Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker, and Fred Couples adds to the intrigue. The decision to delay the announcement, possibly due to hopes of Tiger Woods taking the role, raises questions about the future of American Ryder Cup leadership.

Course Information: The Renaissance Club

  • The Renaissance Club

  • North Berwick, Scotland

  • 7,293 yards     Par 36-35–71

The Renaissance Club hosts the Scottish Open for the fifth consecutive year. Perched on a bluff, it offers views of Blackness Bay and the North Sea. Nestled between Muirfield (site of 16 British Opens) and the 36-hole Archerfield Links, it's part of a world-class golfing region. Within ten miles lie other renowned courses like Gullane, Luffness, and North Berwick.

Once part of the 1000-acre Archerfield Estate, the Renaissance Club's land, though naturally windswept, was heavily forested. The Forestry Commission had planted pine and sycamore trees on 300 acres. When developing the club, renowned architect Tom Doak was commissioned to design a course that showcased the natural terrain with minimal earthmoving.

Doak's design incorporated existing trees while clearing others. A land swap with Muirfield allowed the Renaissance Club to acquire prime duneland for holes 9 through 13, enhancing the course's seaside character. In exchange, Muirfield gained a tree-lined buffer zone.

Built in 2008 and revised in 2014, the course benefited from input by two-time British Open champion Padraig Harrington, who helped refine it for Scottish Open play.

The Renaissance Club serves as an ideal preparatory venue for golfers heading to Royal Troon for the British Open.

📊 Key Statistics for Success

Let's delve into vital stats for the Genesis Scottish Open, held at The Renaissance Club. This modern links course demands a versatile skillset from players, especially when the wind intensifies. In calm conditions, scores often dip well below par, while windy years present a tougher challenge.

Historically, putting has proven to be the key to success at The Renaissance Club, outweighing the importance of fairways or greens hit. This means it's not just a course for shotmakers or bombers; it's a course where the average player, with a strong putting game, can truly excel.

With wide fairways and fair greens, the course is inherently playable, especially in the absence of wind. To illustrate this point, in 2023, the course averaged 1.5 shots under par. However, in the windier conditions of 2022, it played .75 shots over par.

Recent data also reveals the importance of long drives at The Renaissance Club. In 2023, the course averaged 295.4 yards per drive, while in 2022, it averaged 299.3 yards. This highlights the advantage that players with distance off the tee can have.

In addition to driving distance, hitting greens in regulation is another crucial factor for success at this venue. The course features undulating greens that demand precision and accuracy, making approach shots a critical aspect of the game.

To conquer The Renaissance Club, players need to excel in four key areas:

  1. Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green: This comprehensive stat measures a player's overall performance from the tee box to the green, encompassing driving distance, accuracy, approach shots, and short game prowess. In 2023, winner Rory McIlroy demonstrated the importance of well-rounded play by leading the field in this category, showcasing his ability to gain strokes on the competition throughout the entire course.

  2. Scrambling: The Renaissance Club's greens are known for their challenging undulations and surrounding hazards, making scrambling a critical skill for success. Getting up and down after a missed green is essential to avoid costly bogeys or worse. Past winners have often struggled in this area, highlighting the significance of a strong short game and the ability to recover from missed greens.

  3. Putting Inside 10 Feet: Making short putts is a fundamental aspect of golf, and it becomes even more crucial at The Renaissance Club. While detailed data for this specific stat is limited, overall putting averages emphasize its importance. In 2023, the course ranked high in putting inside 10 feet, indicating that players who can consistently sink these short putts will have a distinct advantage.

  4. Par Breakers (Birdies and Eagles): The Renaissance Club offers ample opportunities for scoring, making birdies and eagles essential for victory. In both 2022 and 2023, the winners ranked highly in Par Breakers, proving the need to capitalize on scoring chances and go low. The course's layout and conditions often lead to a shootout, where players who can consistently make birdies and eagles will rise to the top of the leaderboard.

Understanding these key stats and trends can provide valuable insights for players and fans alike, shedding light on the challenges and opportunities that The Renaissance Club presents. Whether it's mastering the art of putting, harnessing the power of long drives, or honing the accuracy of approach shots, success at the Genesis Scottish Open requires a well-rounded skillset and adaptability to varying conditions.

Who to watch for at the Genesis Scottish Open

(GolfStats.com subscribers can see the rest from the Previews and Picks post.)

Subscribe to Premium to read the rest.

Become a paying subscriber of Premium to get access to this post and other subscriber-only content.

Already a paying subscriber? Sign In.

A subscription gets you:

  • • 2024 GolfStats Tournament and Player Guides
  • • Picks and Previews
  • • Betting Strategies
  • • 2024 Masters Handbook